TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valorant: AKA HERO vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage
Volume:
$4,576
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-three Valorant match between AKA HERO and FOKUS in the VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage, scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Maps 1 and 2), map handicap, and total maps played, with resolution sourced from vlr.gg.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi match winner market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (FOKUS win and AKA HERO win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent binary resolution logic with comprehensive edge-case handling that Kalshi entirely omits.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi match winner market. Use Polymarket's match winner market as the authoritative source. All map-level and handicap markets on Polymarket share consistent resolution logic: binary outcomes (team A or team B), 50-50 for cancellations/ties/delays beyond 7 days, and forfeit/walkover distinctions. Verify final results on vlr.gg within 2 hours of match conclusion.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Match winner market states: 'If FOKUS wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If AKA HERO wins... resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution. No cancellation, tie, or delay rules are specified. Market is unresolvable as written.
- Polymarket: Match winner market specifies: 'resolves to AKA HERO if AKA HERO wins' and 'resolves to FOKUS if FOKUS wins'. Comprehensive edge cases: 50-50 if canceled, tied, or delayed beyond 7 days without winner; forfeit/walkover before start = 50-50; forfeit/walkover mid-match with winner determined = winner resolves. All derivative markets (Map 1, Map 2, handicap, total) follow identical framework with source vlr.gg (2-hour fallback to credible reporting).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.