TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$192,072,993

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,842,388,377

408,027

Markets across

40,419

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
polymarket

What is the result of 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports?

Volume:
$1,628,672

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 9:45 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,021,053
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$345,272
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,572
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)

100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,736
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)

100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$233,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,209
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

0%
87%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

0%
88%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

0%
82%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs 100 Thieves (+4.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 43

Intro

This market tracks whether the total number of rounds played on Map 3 in the 100 Thieves versus G2 Esports Valorant match will be over or under 22.5. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the “Over 22.5” outcome. Resolution will be based on data from vlr.gg. Traders should closely watch the start of the Lower Bracket Semifinal match itself, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, as the actual number of rounds played on Map 3 will determine the outcome of this market.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Valorant Lower Bracket Semifinal match between 100 Thieves and G2 Esports in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against G2 Esports. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against 100 Thieves. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Valorant Champions Playoffs market tracks the current odds for 100 Thieves versus G2 Esports, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also view the 24-hour trading volume, which currently sits at $1,584,964, and the total volume traded to date, which is $1,628,672. This provides a clear picture of market sentiment and activity surrounding this best-of-three matchup in the VCT Champions Playoffs.

Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. This market reflects the collective wisdom of traders, who may weigh factors differently than sportsbooks do, such as team morale or individual player form. While sportsbook odds are influenced by bookmaker margins and public betting patterns, this market is driven purely by traders willing to back their beliefs with capital. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the 100 Thieves versus G2 Esports best-of-three series in the VCT Champions Playoffs is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will be the basis for settlement. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who backed the losing team will forfeit their shares.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries or roster changes for either 100 Thieves or G2 Esports would likely cause price fluctuations. In-game performance during the series itself, such as a dominant early victory by one team, could also lead to rapid shifts in odds. Additionally, broader developments within the VCT Champions Playoffs, like upsets involving other top teams, could influence trader sentiment and affect the price of shares in this market.