TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This spread-focused event assesses whether Vallecano achieves a decisive victory over Elche, specifically winning by more than 2.5 goals during regular time.
All markets resolve based on the outcome of the Vallecano vs Elche professional La Liga soccer game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market has a specific condition (e.g., Vallecano wins by more than 2.5 goals, Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals, Elche wins by more than 1.5 goals, Elche wins by more than 2.5 goals), and if the condition is met, the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions as traders buy and sell contracts. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may emerge, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it's important to note that market efficiency varies, and differences in odds don't always guarantee a profitable arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the potential for various goal totals in the Vallecano vs Elche match. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Vallecano vs Elche match will be the determining factor. This includes goals scored during regulation time and any added time, but does not include goals scored during a penalty shootout. The final score will be sourced from official match data, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Vallecano or Elche would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected goal total. Additionally, any pre-match analysis or expert predictions that gain widespread attention could shift market sentiment and trading activity. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi could quickly move the price, especially if they indicate a strong conviction about a particular outcome.