TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Vallecano and Celta Vigo, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent within the standard match timeframe. Different thresholds define various possible outcomes.
The event resolves based on the goal differential of the Vallecano vs Celta Vigo professional La Liga soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, played within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: Vallecano winning by more than 2.5 goals, Vallecano winning by more than 1.5 goals, Celta Vigo winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Celta Vigo winning by more than 2.5 goals. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the specific rule corresponding to the actual result that meets or exceeds its threshold. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of the potential outcome of the Vallecano vs Celta Vigo match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing expectations regarding the Vallecano vs Celta Vigo match.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Vallecano vs Celta Vigo match as officially recorded by sports data providers. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances once the resolution is complete. The platform ensures a transparent and reliable process for determining the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies for either Vallecano or Celta Vigo could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from prominent sports commentators could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the expected outcome of the Vallecano vs Celta Vigo match has the potential to drive price fluctuations.