TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 8:00 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess whether Vallecano or Bilbao secures a victory by a margin exceeding specific goal differences during the same match, calculated after regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties.
Markets resolve based on whether Vallecano wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game on Oct 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning margin exceeds the specified threshold. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might signal an opportunity for arbitrage – where you can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees a correct prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Vallecano vs Bilbao match, as determined by official sports data sources, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Successful contracts will be those that accurately predicted the final spread. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome based on the actual results of the game.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or tactical changes could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in expectations regarding the Vallecano vs Bilbao match, potentially causing the market to react quickly.