TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Vallecano vs Bilbao
kalshi

What is the result of Vallecano vs Bilbao?

Volume:
$594,667

Bilbao

 - Kalshi

Bilbao - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 8:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bilbao

View
37%
1%
Yes 37¢No 63¢
—
N/A
$377,562
N/A
N/A
$154,342
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Vallecano

View
32%
Yes 32¢No 68¢
—
N/A
$120,248
N/A
N/A
$48,304
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Tie

View
31%
6%
Yes 31¢No 69¢
—
N/A
$96,857
N/A
N/A
$43,648
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Bilbao or Vallecano will win their La Liga soccer match on October 10, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Bilbao a 33.0% probability of winning, while Vallecano is at 32.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official game results. Keep a close watch on the starting lineups announced prior to the October 10, 2026 match to gauge potential impacts on each team’s chances.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Vallecano market occurs if Vallecano wins the match within regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Bilbao market occurs if Bilbao wins within regular time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends in a draw after regular time. All markets exclude extra time and penalty shootouts. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as per the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Vallecano vs Bilbao match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing the outcome, allowing you to see shifts in sentiment over time. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $35,246, and the total volume traded to date is $594,667. This provides a clear picture of market activity and interest in this particular contest. The dashboard is updated in real-time, reflecting the latest trades on Kalshi.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while this market represents what traders believe is the true probability of an outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public information or debate surrounding the Vallecano vs Bilbao match. Examining these differences can offer insights into where the crowd sees value, or where the sportsbook’s assessment may diverge from public opinion.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Vallecano vs Bilbao match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome. It’s important to monitor reputable sports news sources leading up to and following the match to stay informed about the resolution process and ensure a smooth settlement of this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies for either Vallecano or Bilbao could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also cause price fluctuations. Major upsets in other related matches, or even broader trends in the league standings, might also indirectly affect how traders assess the probabilities in this market.