TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:28 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional soccer match between two teams will conclude with one team securing a victory after the full regulation time, or the game may end evenly. Any substantial schedule changes will prompt a fair price resolution for all outcomes.
The market resolves based on the result of the Valladolid vs Eldense professional La Liga 2 soccer game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Valladolid wins, that market resolves to Yes. If Eldense wins, that market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting biases. This market, driven by actual money at stake, tends to converge towards a more accurate probability as more information becomes available and traders refine their assessments. While sportsbooks may offer promotional odds or adjust lines based on liability, the prices on Kalshi are solely determined by supply and demand among participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Valladolid vs Eldense match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd, creating a dynamic and informative view of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Valladolid vs Eldense match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams could also impact perceptions. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large volume of contracts traded in one direction – can create price movement as traders react to or anticipate further shifts in the market. Monitoring sports news and analyzing team statistics are key to understanding potential catalysts.