TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Valencia vs Villarreal: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Valencia vs Villarreal?

Volume:
$52,273

Villarreal wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Villarreal wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 2:34 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Villarreal wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,514
N/A
N/A
$17,246
Settled
No
kalshi

Valencia wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,620
N/A
N/A
$13,266
Settled
No
kalshi

Valencia wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,582
N/A
N/A
$2,338
Settled
No
kalshi

Villarreal wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,557
N/A
N/A
$3,908
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Valencia and Villarreal, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different winning margins in the Valencia versus Villarreal La Liga match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Valencia winning by more than 2.5 goals, Valencia winning by more than 1.5 goals, Villarreal winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Villarreal winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. Each market will resolve to 'Yes' only if the specified team achieves the exact margin of victory outlined in its respective rule. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Valencia vs Villarreal match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a history of how the price has changed over time. Currently, volume is $51,529 and total volume is $52,273. This allows traders to see how the market is reacting to news and information about the teams and the game. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders believe the spread will ultimately land, reflecting their collective predictions.

Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially regarding team news or injuries.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread in the Valencia vs Villarreal match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders’ assessments of the likely outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 50, the more uncertain the market is about the spread. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Valencia vs Villarreal match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sporting authorities. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final price of the contracts at resolution. The market will close prior to the event’s completion to prevent manipulation.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Valencia or Villarreal would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or coaching decisions could also lead to shifts in the market price. Major upsets in other relevant matches could indirectly affect perceptions of team strength and impact trading activity in this market.