TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the Valencia vs Villarreal professional La Liga soccer game will end in a tie. Currently, Kalshi gives a 72.0% probability to “Tie is the result”, with “Valencia wins” at 21.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result reported following the match. Traders should watch for the kickoff of the Valencia vs Villarreal game on October 24, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Valencia vs Villarreal professional La Liga soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Valencia wins, the 'Valencia' market resolves to Yes. If Villarreal wins, the 'Villarreal' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to odds that can diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or changing sentiment. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome of the Valencia vs Villarreal match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the Valencia vs Villarreal match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading accordingly, creating a self-regulating system for price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Valencia vs Villarreal match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, including any extra time or penalty shootouts if applicable. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Trading will cease once the outcome is known, and contracts will be settled accordingly, paying out based on the final result of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Valencia or Villarreal would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also shift the market. Furthermore, general sentiment and public opinion, as reflected in sports news and social media, can all contribute to fluctuations in the prices of contracts for this market.