TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:01h:31m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a La Liga soccer match between Valencia and Real Madrid scheduled for November 7, 2026. Markets exist for Valencia winning, Real Madrid winning, or the match ending in a draw, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
If Valencia wins the Valencia vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Real Madrid wins the Valencia vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Valencia vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 7, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market refers to the La Liga match between Valencia (VAL) and Real Madrid (REA), scheduled for 2026-11-07 20:00 UTC. - VAL: If Valencia wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - REA: If Real Madrid wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both VAL and REA options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by La Liga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.laliga.com/
Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Opinion, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market’s prices are driven by actual money at risk. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. While sportsbooks may initially offer more competitive odds, the dynamic nature of this market can result in more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
Kalshi and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Kalshi and Opinion for the Valencia vs Real Madrid match may differ due to variations in trader participation and the specific mechanisms each platform employs. Kalshi currently favors Real Madrid wins at 76%, while Opinion leans toward a Draw. These differences can arise from varying liquidity, user demographics, or even subtle differences in how each platform displays information. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform – $59,208 overall – isn’t necessarily distributed evenly, leading to price discrepancies. Both platforms offer unique insights, and observing these differences can be valuable.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Valencia vs Real Madrid match, as declared by the governing football league. Traders will be able to see the final result and how it impacts their positions after this date. The outcome will be determined by the official match result, including any potential extra time or penalty shootouts, as defined by the official rules of the competition.
Several signals could influence this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Valencia or Real Madrid would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also shift the probabilities. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams leading up to the game could also influence expectations and, therefore, the price of contracts in this market.