TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:58 PM EST
Kalshi
The upcoming La Liga match between Valencia and Bilbao will determine if more than zero goals are scored during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
If over 0.5 goals are scored in the Valencia vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 1.5 goals are scored in the Valencia vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 2.5 goals are scored in the Valencia vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 3.5 goals are scored in the Valencia vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 4.5 goals are scored in the Valencia vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 5.5 goals are scored in the Valencia vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate differing opinions on the likelihood of various total goal scenarios in the Valencia vs Bilbao match. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds over time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The market depth and volume provide insights into the level of confidence traders have in each possible outcome for the Valencia vs Bilbao game.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of goals scored in the Valencia vs Bilbao match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be sourced from official match data, and the contracts corresponding to the correct total goals outcome will pay out. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the event is finalized, and payouts will be processed accordingly. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Valencia or Bilbao would likely cause significant movement. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or even weather conditions on match day, could also impact expectations regarding the number of goals scored. Furthermore, live game events, such as early goals or red cards, would immediately shift the probabilities and prices within this market, creating opportunities for traders to react to unfolding developments.