TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various goal thresholds for the Valencia vs Bilbao La Liga match, resolving based on the total goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
The markets for the Valencia vs Bilbao La Liga match assess whether the total goals scored exceeds specific thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals) during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time period. Each market resolves to Yes if the cumulative goals meet or surpass its respective threshold, with all outcomes determined solely by regular time scoring, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The secondary disclaimer clarifies that the platform has no official affiliation with the league.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially uncovering information not fully captured by sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see odds converge as the event approaches, but significant differences can persist.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Valencia vs Bilbao match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winner, and this information will be sourced from official sports news outlets and league standings. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring that the market accurately reflects the real-world event. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Valencia or Bilbao would likely have a significant impact. Team news regarding starting lineups and tactical changes could also shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches that affect league standings or team motivation might also cause movement. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to changes in trading activity and, consequently, the market price.