TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether both Valencia and Bilbao will score in their La Liga match on October 17, 2026. The outcome hinges on whether each team manages to find the net at least once during regular time, including any added stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
If Valencia and Bilbao both score a goal in the Valencia vs Bilbao La Liga match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to account for profit margins and public betting biases, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price here, potentially creating an edge. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or inside information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of the event’s probability.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Valencia vs Bilbao match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of BTTS. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market-making algorithm to ensure there’s always a bid and ask price available, facilitating continuous trading and price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Valencia and Bilbao score at least one goal during the match. If both teams score, the market will settle in favor of 'Yes'; otherwise, it will settle as 'No'. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be the determining factor. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market's settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Valencia or Bilbao would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Major news stories impacting team morale or motivation could also cause movement. Unexpected lineup announcements closer to kickoff are also potential catalysts, as they could alter the perceived likelihood of both teams finding the net.