TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valencia vs. Barcelona
Volume:
$126,025
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Euroleague basketball matchup between Valencia Basket and FC Barcelona scheduled for March 19, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. Both platforms are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution tied to which team wins.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses a binary Yes resolution for any decisive outcome, while Polymarket uses a categorical winner resolution. This creates different information structures and payout mechanics despite referencing the same underlying game.Hero Tip:
If you want directional exposure to Valencia or Barcelona specifically, use Polymarket. If you only care whether a winner is determined (not who), Kalshi's binary structure may suit you. Be aware that Kalshi traders cannot hedge individual team outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary confirmation market. Both Valencia win and Barcelona win resolve to Yes. No distinction between outcomes. Quote: 'If Valencia Basket wins the FC Barcelona vs Valencia Basket professional Euroleague basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If FC Barcelona wins the FC Barcelona vs Valencia Basket professional Euroleague basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical winner market. Resolves to 'Valencia' or 'Barcelona' based on game outcome. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Valencia win, the market will resolve to "Valencia". If the Barcelona win, the market will resolve to "Barcelona". If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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