TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Volume:
$445,502

V-Varen

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 8:01 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

V-Varen

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$145,759
N/A
N/A
$78,703
Settled
Yes
polymarket

V-Varen Nagasaki

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34,084
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146,452
N/A
N/A
$77,362
Settled
No
polymarket

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,415
N/A
N/A
$14,430
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima)

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,749
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J1 League soccer match between V-Varen Nagasaki and Sanfrecce Hiroshima on October 21, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning and for the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not address this scenario.Hero tip: Consider the potential for game cancellation when trading on Kalshi, as the market may not resolve if a replacement game is not scheduled. Polymarket provides clarity on this edge case.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of official sources (JLeague, Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus).
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No mention of cancellation handling; resolution depends on the game being completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 21, 2026 between V-Varen Nagasaki and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the V-Varen vs Hiroshima Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for October 21, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the respective market’s designated team wins or if the match ends in a tie for the Tie market. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution exclusively considers the result within regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the J1 League match across multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays a consensus view of the probabilities for various outcomes, reflecting the collective wisdom of prediction market traders. Currently, the total volume across these platforms is $445,502, with $440,025 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to compare how different markets are pricing the same event and gain a more comprehensive understanding of potential results. The dashboard provides a dynamic overview of the evolving predictions for this match.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of the participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction market participants are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when incorporating diverse information. While sportsbooks may initially react to public perception, this market reflects a more nuanced assessment of the probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, offering potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.