TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
UTSA wins by over 6.5 points
- Kalshi
UTSA wins by over 6.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 03d:08h:21m
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This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, reflecting different levels of confidence in the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the UTSA vs Florida Atlantic college football game scheduled for Nov 5, 2026. For UTSA win markets, resolution occurs if UTSA wins by exceeding the specified point differential. For Florida Atlantic win markets, resolution occurs if Florida Atlantic wins by exceeding the specified point differential. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under extraordinary circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the UTSA vs Florida Atlantic spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and the actions of other participants, leading to a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely spread. The more traders believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the UTSA vs Florida Atlantic game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the actual final result of the game, as determined by official sources. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. The market will close prior to the event’s completion, preventing further trading once the outcome is known or highly predictable.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the UTSA or Florida Atlantic teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Publicly released analysis from sports analysts and updated betting lines from sportsbooks can influence trader behavior. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price movements as traders react to perceived shifts in sentiment.