TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Utrecht and Zwolle, focusing on determining whether Utrecht wins, Zwolle wins, or the game ends in a tie within regular time. The result is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Market resolution accounts for potential game cancellations or rescheduling, ensuring fair pricing adjustments if necessary.
The event resolves based on the result of the Utrecht vs Zwolle professional Eredivisie soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Utrecht market occurs if Utrecht wins the match in regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Zwolle market occurs if Zwolle wins in regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting and have their own strengths and weaknesses.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises prices, while increased selling pressure lowers them. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Utrecht vs Zwolle match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances once the resolution is complete. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market is reacting to any late-breaking news or developments.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Utrecht or Zwolle would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also alter perceptions. Even external factors like weather conditions on the day of the match or major news affecting team morale could contribute to price movements. Monitoring sports news and team updates will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.