TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 3:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Utrecht and Roda, focusing on determining whether Utrecht wins, Roda wins, or the game ends in a tie within regular time. The result is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Market resolutions will account for potential game cancellations or rescheduling, ensuring fair pricing if necessary.
The event resolves based on the result of the Utrecht vs Roda professional Eerste Divisie soccer match originally scheduled for October 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Utrecht win, Roda win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to attract action, and may incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs about the outcome. However, discrepancies can emerge due to differing levels of information and market participants. It's common to find that as an event approaches, the odds on Kalshi converge with those offered by sportsbooks, especially if public sentiment aligns with the prediction market's assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Utrecht vs Roda match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or leagues might influence overall sentiment and trading activity. Public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also contribute to shifts in the market, though Kalshi represents an independent assessment.