TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks various point differentials in the first half of a college football game between UTEP and North Dakota State. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team could win the first half, allowing participants to bet on the exact competitiveness of the opening period.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the UTEP vs North Dakota State college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if North Dakota State wins the first half by the exact margin or greater specified in the market (e.g., over 34.5 points, over 29.5 points, etc.), or if UTEP wins the first half by the exact margin or greater specified (e.g., over 2.5 points, over 3.5 points, etc.). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders seek to profit from price variations between Kalshi and sportsbooks. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final first-half point spread of the UTEP vs North Dakota State football game will be used to determine winning contracts. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either UTEP or North Dakota State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders or public sentiment, can create momentum and influence the price of contracts.