TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Reg Time: Utebo
- Kalshi
Reg Time: Utebo - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 01d:20h:13m
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This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a professional soccer match between Utebo and Sabadell, specifically whether a particular team will win within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the regulation time result, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is tied after regulation, a separate outcome is designated.
The event determines the winner of the Utebo vs Sabadell professional Copa del Rey soccer match scheduled for November 4, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Utebo win, Sabadell win, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a ‘vig’ or commission. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes be more efficient and reflective of true probabilities, though discrepancies can occur due to differing opinions and information available to each group. It’s common to find that prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, leading to price adjustments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, creating a dynamic market price that fluctuates based on supply and demand. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, giving an indication of the strength of conviction behind each prediction. This creates a real-time assessment of the match's potential result.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the regulation time moneyline result of the Utebo vs Sabadell match. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The final result will be determined by official sources and reported by sports news outlets. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the verified result, reflecting the collective prediction made before the event took place.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in team form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also play a role. Furthermore, public perception and analysis from sports commentators can influence the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams could also indirectly affect the market’s direction.