TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Utah wins by over 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Utah wins by over 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 01d:01h:02m
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This market assesses the margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between Utah and Toronto. It determines whether either team will win by a specific number of goals or more, reflecting the competitive balance and potential outcomes of the match.
The event consists of four markets, each tied to specific goal-differential thresholds for either Utah or Toronto to win by in their scheduled NHL game on Nov 3, 2026. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies; if the game is cancelled or does not start within that window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The primary rules define distinct winning conditions—Toronto must win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Utah must win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals—for each respective market to resolve as 'Yes.' The structure allows participants to bet on varying degrees of dominance by either team, with shared contingency handling for scheduling disruptions.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. While both attempt to predict the final spread, differences can arise due to varying information sources, analytical approaches, and the influence of public opinion. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spreads for the Utah vs Toronto game. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of whether the actual spread will fall above or below that value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The more a particular spread is anticipated, the higher the contract price will climb, indicating a greater probability assigned to that outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Utah vs Toronto game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant sporting authority. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of $1 per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. The market’s resolution is independent of any pre-game analysis or predictions.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Utah or Toronto teams would likely cause shifts in the spread. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to team strategies or player availability could lead to substantial price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.