TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 12:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the goal differential for Seattle in their game against Utah. Bettors predict if Seattle will win by a margin greater than specified values. The result is based on the score difference, with provisions for game rescheduling or cancellation.
Markets evaluate whether Seattle wins by more than specified goal margins. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets stay open and resolve with the final result. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours result in fair price resolutions for all markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own predictions. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe the spread will be lower, they will buy contracts representing that outcome, driving up the price, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Utah vs Seattle game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the sport. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of their trade. The market will close prior to the event’s completion to prevent manipulation and ensure a fair outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Utah or Seattle teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, could also contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements related to player availability or game conditions are also likely catalysts.