TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Utah vs. Kings
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 28 at 9:00PM ET: If the Utah win, the market will resolve to "Utah". If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on the scope and structure of their markets. Kalshi offers eight separate over/under markets at different goal thresholds (2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5), each resolving independently to YES if the threshold is exceeded. Polymarket offers a moneyline market (Utah vs. Kings winner), two spread markets (Kings -1.5, Utah -1.5), and four over/under markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), with different resolution mechanics and outcome labels.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on a single goal threshold in isolation; each market is binary and independent. On Polymarket, the moneyline and spread markets resolve to team names (Utah or Kings), while over/under markets resolve to Over/Under labels. Ensure you understand which platform's market structure matches your intended bet before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers eight independent binary over/under markets, each asking 'If over X.5 total combined goals are scored, does the market resolve to Yes?' Each market resolves YES or NO based solely on whether the combined goal total exceeds its specific threshold. Resolution source is the final score of the Utah vs. Los Angeles professional hockey game originally scheduled for March 28, 2026.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers a moneyline market (resolves to Utah or Kings based on winner), two spread markets (Kings -1.5 and Utah -1.5, each resolving to a team name), and four over/under markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) that resolve to Over or Under labels. All markets reference the same game on March 28 at 9:00 PM ET and include identical postponement and cancellation rules, with shootout goals added to the winning team's score.
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