TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers markets on the November 1st NHL game between the Utah (newly relocated from Arizona) and the Philadelphia Flyers. Markets include a straight win/loss outcome and Over/Under bets on the total number of goals scored.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 1 at 4:00PM ET: If the Utah win, the market will resolve to "Utah". If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 1 at 4:00PM ET: If the Utah win, the market will resolve to "Utah". If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs, creating a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. This market benefits from the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket and Predict. Furthermore, prediction markets often have lower transaction costs and allow for more complex betting strategies than traditional sportsbooks. The difference in odds can also stem from varying levels of information available to each group.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume and liquidity also play a role; higher volume typically leads to tighter spreads and more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific rules and incentives on each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, Polymarket may currently favor a different outcome than Predict, leading to price discrepancies. These differences highlight the value of aggregating data across multiple platforms to gain a more robust understanding of market sentiment regarding the Utah vs. Flyers game.