TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:55 PM EST
Kalshi
Two hockey teams compete in a match where bettors predict whether the combined goals will exceed a set threshold. The outcome hinges on the final score, including any overtime goals, but shootout goals count as one each if used to decide the game.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Utah vs Edmonton NHL game scheduled for Oct 15, 2026. Goals scored during regulation and overtime count normally. If the game uses a shootout, the shootout result counts as one goal for the winning team. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can move the price on Kalshi to reflect their collective assessment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their expectations for the game. As more volume is traded, the price tends to converge towards a more accurate representation of the true probability. The market's price movements are a direct result of the collective intelligence of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Utah vs Edmonton game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics published by the relevant sporting authority. Traders who correctly predicted the total goals will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The market will close prior to the event's completion, preventing any trading after the outcome is known.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Utah or Edmonton teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or tactical adjustments could shift market sentiment. Even public perception, fueled by expert analysis or social media discussion, can play a role in driving price fluctuations up to the resolution date.