TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:19 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the final quarter performance of a college football game between Utah and Colorado, tracking how much one team outscores the other specifically in the 4th quarter. The outcomes depend entirely on the point differential within that last quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Utah vs Colorado college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team achieves a point differential exceeding the specified threshold for that market—ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points—within that quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants despite scheduling disruptions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed trading in either venue.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the fourth quarter of the Utah vs Colorado game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Utah or Colorado teams would likely cause shifts in the spread. Changes in team performance during earlier games, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player availability, or even significant shifts in public perception as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.