TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:11 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Utah and Colorado. Outcomes depend solely on the scoring margin during that specific quarter, ignoring overall game results.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the third quarter of the Utah vs Colorado college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold that must be exceeded by either Utah or Colorado to resolve as 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. No affiliation exists between Kalshi and the NCAA; all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs, which can lead to different probabilities being assigned to outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the third quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and generate a forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final third-quarter spread of the Utah vs Colorado game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the spread, based on the contract they held at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Utah or Colorado teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance during recent games, weather forecasts for game day, and even public sentiment expressed on social media could all contribute to shifts in the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the spread.