TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Utah vs. Colorado
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Utah vs. Colorado?

Volume:
$16,981,413

Utah

 - Kalshi

Utah - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 2:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Utah

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,467,889
N/A
N/A
$2,301,102
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Utah vs. Colorado

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$172,307
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$33,887
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 41.5

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,627
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,646
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 47.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,533
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 35.5

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,733
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -9.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$256
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Utah O/U 23.5

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Colorado

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,058,162
N/A
N/A
$5,381,080
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -15.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$124,489
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,969
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,299
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,084
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,316
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,503
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,439
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 51.5

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,151
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
75%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,576
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,540
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -21.5

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,234
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 234

Intro

This market tracks the total number of 4th down conversions—over or under 0.5—in the upcoming college football game between Utah and Colorado. Currently, the consensus probability that Utah vs. Colorado: Total 4th Down Conversions will be Over 0.5 is 100.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of views from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will be resolved based on data reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 17th, as the outcome of this market will depend on the actual number of successful 4th down attempts during the contest.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi only resolves on a win/loss, while Polymarket accounts for ties. This creates a fundamental difference in the possible outcomes and potential for open markets.Hero tip: Focus trading on Polymarket's markets, especially those with over/under options, as they provide a more complete resolution framework. Avoid long-term positions on Kalshi's winner markets due to the tie risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Utah or Colorado if they win, or 50/50 if the game ends in a tie. Markets remain open until the game is completed if postponed, and resolve 50/50 if canceled.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Utah or Colorado wins. Does not account for ties, leaving the market open indefinitely in that scenario.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Utah and Colorado, scheduled for October 17 at 10:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Utah" if Utah win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado" if Colorado win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the game as scheduled. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when there is significant public interest and informed trading activity surrounding the Utah-Colorado football game.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to differences in user base, trading volume, and market structure. Each platform attracts a different set of participants with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Utah-Colorado football game. Additionally, the specific market design – for example, the types of contracts offered – can influence price discovery. Lower volume on either platform can also lead to greater price volatility and discrepancies, as fewer traders are needed to move the market.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance for either Utah or Colorado would likely have an impact. Unexpected weather forecasts for the game day could also move the market, as could major shifts in public sentiment or expert predictions. Additionally, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting changes in trader confidence regarding the Utah-Colorado football game.