TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:12 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between Utah and Colorado. It highlights the competitive nature of individual game segments rather than the overall result, allowing participants to speculate on short-term performance.
If Colorado wins the 2nd quarter of the Utah vs Colorado college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah wins the 2nd quarter of the Utah vs Colorado college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Utah vs Colorado college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – Utah winning, Colorado winning, or a tie – and the price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, if more people sell, the price decreases. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of a contract represents the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that has the higher score at the end of the 2nd quarter will be declared the winner. In the event of a tie, the 'tie' outcome will be considered the winner. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in the first quarter, or even pre-game analysis suggesting a shift in momentum, could also lead to significant price fluctuations. Public perception, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Keep an eye on these signals as the game approaches.