TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:12 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential between Utah and Colorado specifically within the second quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of the Utah vs Colorado college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For any market where the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the actual second-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will instead resolve to a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty created by the delay rather than a definitive game outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis from a wider range of sources than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market evolves as traders buy and sell contracts, expressing their own informed opinions. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, like injury reports or weather forecasts, than sportsbook lines. However, there can be discrepancies, and it’s always valuable to compare both to get a comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different point spreads. The current price reflects the probability that traders assign to each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more traders believe Colorado will win by over 2.5 points, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase. Conversely, if more traders favor Utah, the price will decrease. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second quarter spread of the Utah vs Colorado game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers. The market will then pay out to contract holders based on whether the actual spread matched the contract they purchased. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on the real-world event.
Several factors could significantly impact the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Utah or Colorado would likely cause movement, as would changes in coaching strategies or team performance in prior games. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also influence the spread. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one side of the market – could shift the price, reflecting a change in collective sentiment among traders. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.