TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks various scoring thresholds for the first quarter of a college football game between Utah and Colorado. Each threshold represents a different point total that, if exceeded by both teams combined, determines the outcome of that specific market.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first quarter of the Utah vs Colorado college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely, the price will move in that direction, potentially offering better value than what’s available at a sportsbook. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts before the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the first quarter will be over or under a certain number. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting 'over', the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective prediction of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official score of the first quarter of the Utah vs Colorado game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded or fell short of the threshold established by the market. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Utah or Colorado would certainly have an impact, as would any significant changes in weather conditions. Public perception, influenced by pre-game analysis and expert opinions, can also shift the market. Even the initial scoring plays of the game itself could cause rapid price adjustments. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of a high- or low-scoring first quarter has the potential to move this market.