TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, resolving based on whether the team's actual score exceeds that threshold.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for each team in the Utah vs Cincinnati college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold (e.g., Cincinnati over 9.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds listed.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own insights, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a continuously updating market versus static sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a particular contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow provide insights into trader sentiment and expectations for the game. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and evolving perspectives.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Utah and Cincinnati will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine which contracts settle positively. Resolution will be based on the officially recorded scores at the conclusion of the game, as reported by the governing sports organization. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the team totals.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or changes in team lineups would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly if they affect the style of play, could also shift expectations. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception, driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence trading activity. Finally, as the game draws closer, any information regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.