TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Utah will win their college football game against Cincinnati by more than 7.5 points. Currently, the probability of Utah winning by over 7.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Utah vs Cincinnati college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Utah wins by more than 21.5 points, with final settlement expected around November 1, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Utah vs Cincinnati college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Utah wins by the exact margin specified in a market’s primary rule, that market does not resolve as 'Yes'—it must exceed the threshold. Conversely, if Cincinnati wins by the exact margin specified, the market resolves as 'Yes' only if the win exceeds the threshold. For markets where the specified margin is not met in either direction, resolution is 'No.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed bettors, as they represent distinct viewpoints on the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Utah vs Cincinnati game. The market will settle based on which side of the spread the actual result falls, with payouts determined by the contract prices at the time of resolution. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also shift predictions. Public sentiment, reflected in betting trends and media coverage, can also play a role. Unexpected developments leading up to the game, such as a major upset in another relevant contest, could also cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust the price of contracts.