TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:30 PM EST
Polymarket
Exact margin markets for Utah vs. Cincinnati.
Exact margin markets for Utah vs. Cincinnati.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular margin is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the final margin between Utah and Cincinnati. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that specific margin occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment from traders.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final margin of victory in the Utah versus Cincinnati game will be used to determine the winning shares. The official result, as reported by the governing body of the game, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders holding shares in the correct margin will receive a payout, while those holding shares in incorrect margins will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Utah or Cincinnati teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategy, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even significant public betting patterns could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or coaching changes could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.