TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score more points in a specific quarter of an upcoming college football game between Utah and Cincinnati. It reflects the competitive dynamics of the game and allows participants to speculate on short-term performance. The outcome depends solely on the third-quarter scoring, not the overall game result.
If Cincinnati wins the 3rd quarter of the Utah vs Cincinnati college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah wins the 3rd quarter of the Utah vs Cincinnati college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd quarter of the Utah vs Cincinnati college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes influence early trading activity in this market. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, and the motivations of bettors versus prediction market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly prices respond to news or changes in perception regarding the Utah vs Cincinnati game.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team – Utah or Cincinnati – has the higher score at the end of the third quarter of the game. In the event of a tie, that outcome will be considered the winner of this market. The official game results will serve as the basis for verifying the resolution, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Utah or Cincinnati would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team performance during the first and second quarters of the game will also be influential, as traders adjust their expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant momentum shifts during the game could also move the market. Finally, broader public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could influence trading activity in this market.