TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:32 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Utah and Cincinnati. Outcomes depend solely on which team leads by a specific margin during that quarter, with varying thresholds for both teams.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point difference in the third quarter of the designated Utah vs. Cincinnati college football game. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. For all markets, only points scored during the third quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all team trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, you may see the odds on Kalshi diverge. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, particularly in response to breaking news or late-developing trends.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes in the Utah vs Cincinnati spread. The current price reflects the probability of each outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Cincinnati will win by a certain margin, the higher the price for that outcome will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the 3rd quarter spread in the Utah vs Cincinnati game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The exact payout amount depends on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Utah or Cincinnati teams would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public betting patterns or analysis released by sports experts could contribute to price movement in this market.