TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses various thresholds of points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of a college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that traders can speculate on.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of the Utah vs Cincinnati college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from over 2.5 points to over 27.5 points), and resolves to 'Yes' if the combined second-quarter points exceed that threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward resolution, and Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into where public opinion diverges from professional analysis, and potentially identify value in either market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the 2nd quarter total will be over or under the specified threshold. As more traders participate, the price of these contracts fluctuates, reflecting the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the probability of that outcome occurring, and the market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely score, driven by informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 2nd quarter between Utah and Cincinnati will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded the threshold set by the market. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome and settling all contracts traded on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either Utah or Cincinnati would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or updated statistical projections, could lead to changes in volume and price. Unexpected lineup changes announced close to game time could also move this market.