TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between Utah and Cincinnati. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory for either team during that quarter, allowing participants to bet on how decisively one team might lead at that specific point in the game.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Utah vs Cincinnati college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold for either Utah or Cincinnati to exceed during that quarter. If Utah wins by more than the specified margin in the second quarter, the corresponding Utah markets resolve to Yes; if Cincinnati wins by more than the specified margin, the corresponding Cincinnati markets resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the second quarter of the Utah vs Cincinnati game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Utah or Cincinnati teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game’s style of play, could also shift expectations. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could influence trader sentiment and impact the spread. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade this market effectively.