TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the second half of an upcoming college football game between Utah and Cincinnati. It specifically evaluates performance from halftime onward, including any overtime periods, to decide the outcome.
If Cincinnati wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the Utah vs Cincinnati college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the Utah vs Cincinnati college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the Utah vs Cincinnati college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe one team is more likely to win the second half than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will move favorably for buyers. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts perceptions of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either Utah or Cincinnati winning the second half. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, reflecting the collective prediction of the crowd. The current top outcome, according to traders on Kalshi, is Cincinnati winning the second half.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second half of the Utah vs Cincinnati game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Utah or Cincinnati teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the market. In-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could shift trader sentiment and alter the probabilities reflected in the market price. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking team news are also potential catalysts.