TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the second half of a college football game between Utah and Cincinnati, specifically how many points each team might win by during that period. The markets cover various point differentials, allowing participants to assess the potential margin of victory for either team in the latter half of the game.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Utah vs Cincinnati college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if the winning team exceeds that threshold in the second half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. However, sportsbook odds can still offer a useful point of comparison, and significant discrepancies may present opportunities for arbitrage. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second half of the Utah vs Cincinnati game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts on the winning spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing spreads will forfeit their investment. This market’s resolution is independent of any pre-game predictions or analyses.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected performance in the first half of the game will also likely cause substantial movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market's price ultimately reflects the collective judgment of traders on Kalshi. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.