TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Utah or Cincinnati within the first quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team to resolve as a success.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of the Utah vs Cincinnati college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins by more than the stated point margin within that quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the actual first-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets cover varying thresholds of victory for both teams, allowing for a range of possible outcomes to be wagered upon.
Typically, prediction market odds closely mirror those found at sportsbooks, but subtle differences can emerge due to the unique dynamics of each venue. Sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers, while the odds in this market are determined by the collective predictions of individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional polls or expert analyses, as they incentivize participants to express their true beliefs.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the first quarter of the Utah vs Cincinnati game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Utah or Cincinnati teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game’s style of play, could also have an effect. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.