TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Utah will win its college football game against Cincinnati. Currently, the probability of Utah winning on Kalshi is 99.0%, while Cincinnati winning is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the Utah vs Cincinnati college football game originally scheduled for October 30, 2026, as determined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Cincinnati wins the contest scheduled for October 30, 2026, and will finalize on the resolution date of October 31, 2026.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the Utah vs Cincinnati college football game scheduled for October 30, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it is not associated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks due to the differing incentives and information sources of the participants. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, while prediction market participants are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when a large volume of traders participate. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies may highlight potential value in either market. It’s important to consider all available information when making a prediction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information, and the current volume is $2,062,074. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Utah vs Cincinnati game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available data and established sporting results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Utah or Cincinnati teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the game, such as changes in venue or start time, could also move the market. Monitoring sports news and analysis leading up to the game is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could shift the probabilities reflected in this market.