TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Utah vs. Capitals
Volume:
$490,295
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL game between Utah and Washington Capitals scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and a spread bet on the Capitals at -1.5 goals.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Utah win or Capitals win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline uses standard binary logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline entirely until corrected. All other markets (Polymarket moneyline, all over/unders, and spread) use coherent resolution logic tied to final game score. Focus trading on Polymarket or wait for Kalshi clarification.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes if UTA wins OR Yes if WSH wins. Both outcomes map to the same resolution state, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: 'If UTA Mammoth wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If WSH Capitals wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to Utah if Utah wins, or Capitals if Capitals wins. Binary outcome space is properly defined. Quote: 'If the Utah win, the market will resolve to Utah. If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to Capitals.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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