TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:24 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team might win over the other. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that determines a resolution outcome.
All markets resolve based on Portland State’s or Utah Tech’s victory margin in the college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If Portland State wins by exceeding the specified point differential, the corresponding "Yes" outcome resolves; otherwise, it resolves to "No". Conversely, if Utah Tech wins by more than the stated margin, the relevant "Yes" outcome resolves, with all others resolving to "No". Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the game's outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and public opinion shifts, offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that spread being the final result. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the game’s expected result based on the collective intelligence of those trading.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Utah Tech vs Portland St. game, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. All contracts will then be settled based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either Utah Tech or Portland St. would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even significant betting activity at sportsbooks could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team dynamics or player availability are also potential catalysts. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify opportunities before the game takes place.