TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks (W)
Volume:
$36,737
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Women's College Basketball (WBB) matchup between Utah Tech Trailblazers and UT Arlington Mavericks scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of this game, with different resolution mechanics that create a critical logical divergence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: both possible outcomes (UT Arlington win and Utah Tech win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic with clear edge case handling.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and cannot be settled fairly. Avoid trading there until the platform issues a corrective amendment. Polymarket's market is well-structured and resolvable. If you have exposure on Kalshi, contact support immediately to flag the logical error.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all resolution. Utah Tech win resolves to 'Utah Tech Trailblazers'; UT Arlington win resolves to 'UT Arlington Mavericks'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime. Key Quote: 'If the Utah Tech Trailblazers win, the market will resolve to Utah Tech Trailblazers. If the UT Arlington Mavericks win, the market will resolve to UT Arlington Mavericks.'
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory specification. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to Yes: 'If UT Arlington wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Utah Tech wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a critical drafting error that makes the market unresolvable. Key Quote: 'If UT Arlington wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah Tech wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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