TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses various thresholds of points scored in the final quarter of a college football matchup, focusing solely on performance during that specific period. Participants predict whether the combined score will exceed different point benchmarks, with outcomes determined by the official game result.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the designated college football game. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For any game postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original schedule, the market remains active and resolves according to the final official result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the 4th quarter count toward resolution, and all markets are independent assessments of different scoring thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time sentiment and information from a wider range of participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information becomes available or public opinion shifts. Examining both can provide a more well-rounded understanding of the likely outcome of the Utah State vs Texas State game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the 4th quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the game’s potential. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a specific point total range in the final quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter of the Utah State vs Texas State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 4th quarter will be the determining factor for settlement. The platform will use official game statistics to determine the winning contracts and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Utah State or Texas State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they impact scoring, could also shift the market. In-game performance during the first three quarters, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could lead traders to adjust their predictions. Unexpected coaching decisions or a significant shift in game strategy could also impact the perceived probabilities and move this market.