TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:25 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many points each team scores in a specific college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the number of points a team must score for the market to settle as 'Yes'.
The markets resolve based on whether Boise State or Utah State exceeds specified point thresholds in their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different point total benchmark for either team. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official score. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the conditions and information available at that time. The markets are independent of each other, with each evaluating its specific threshold separately.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available and trader sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, injuries, and other relevant information, creating a real-time assessment of the likely team totals in this matchup. The current prices represent the collective forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final team totals for both Utah State and Boise State will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on these official results, determining which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for the final scores to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Utah State or Boise State would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public information regarding team morale or preparation could affect how traders assess the probabilities of different team total outcomes.