TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total points scored by both Utah State and Boise State during the third quarter of their college football game. Participants predict whether the combined score will exceed specific thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the official game result.
The event resolves based on the collective points scored by both teams in the third quarter of the Utah St. vs Boise St. college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the total points, ranging from more than 2.5 points to more than 27.5 points. If the combined score exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the third quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public attention. If sportsbook odds strongly disagree with the implied probability in this market, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders to exploit a mispricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total points scored in the 3rd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time estimate of the likely outcome. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final result and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Utah St. vs Boise St. game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Utah St. or Boise St. would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters, and any adjustments in coaching strategies, could lead traders to reassess the likely point total for the 3rd quarter. Public sentiment and large volume trades can also drive price movements.