TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the second quarter of a college football game between Utah State and Boise State. It reflects the competitive dynamics of the game during a specific period, offering insight into potential momentum shifts.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points in the second quarter of the Utah State vs. Boise State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If Boise State scores more points in that quarter, the 'Boise St.' market resolves to Yes. If Utah State scores more points, the 'Utah St.' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market’s pricing is driven purely by supply and demand. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will rise in this market. Conversely, if traders disagree with sportsbook assessments, prices will diverge. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or breaking news related to the teams.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either Utah St. or Boise St. winning the second quarter. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, reflecting the evolving expectations of those trading.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Utah St. vs Boise St. game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome of the second quarter.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Utah St. or Boise St. would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategy, weather conditions, or even unexpected coaching decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage surrounding the game can influence trading activity. Late-breaking news or a shift in expert analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before it resolves.