TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second half of a college football game between Utah State and Boise State. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin during the latter half of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the designated college football game. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins by more than the stated point margin in that half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original schedule, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this timeframe, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, particularly as the event approaches. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts based on real-time information and the wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the second half of the Utah St. vs Boise St. game will be used to determine which side of the market wins. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the confirmed outcome on Kalshi following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Utah St. or Boise St. teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions could affect trader sentiment and thus, the price of contracts in this market.